Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 12.707572 14.300325 16.088159 18.258064 20.839911 23.838224 27.619864
2025-07-13 11.584092 13.866293 16.656752 20.379967 25.312287 31.764531 41.094137
2025-07-20 10.468269 13.035030 16.353324 21.074498 27.823385 37.470681 53.012840
2025-07-27 9.255465 11.845398 15.327761 20.518251 28.372164 40.398493 61.554650
2025-08-03 8.686993 11.413549 15.221605 21.164937 30.693277 46.377408 76.767500
2025-08-10 7.970187 10.679358 14.573288 20.870041 31.436268 49.882635 88.681847
2025-08-17 7.375829 10.052687 13.997930 20.581925 32.096890 53.331297 101.685425
2025-08-24 6.904600 9.558323 13.561043 20.440972 32.957892 57.310168 117.421824
2025-08-31 6.417907 8.996513 12.959353 19.937243 33.056384 59.771768 130.582448
2025-09-07 6.054865 8.594181 12.570481 19.745679 33.700009 63.513659 148.911180
2025-09-14 5.599568 8.014239 11.843071 18.867435 32.848497 63.736383 157.290931
2025-09-21 5.181178 7.466681 11.128706 17.940872 31.768000 63.206814 163.225235
2025-09-28 4.834041 7.025467 10.582099 17.312887 31.314212 64.333503 176.333666
2025-10-05 4.952835 7.348963 11.363273 19.295072 36.864856 82.494481 267.616259
2025-10-12 4.844570 7.284618 11.457341 19.939538 39.541592 94.003898 346.854530
2025-10-19 4.578461 6.934531 11.009173 19.423007 39.334990 96.848267 386.550637
2025-10-26 4.487129 6.878176 11.091312 20.023528 42.036809 110.080067 508.396865
2025-11-02 4.289261 6.623340 10.783678 19.749740 42.419218 115.636232 590.829630
2025-11-09 4.107510 6.386581 10.493146 19.482155 42.775218 121.313298 688.087965
2025-11-16 3.955444 6.194255 10.274015 19.351211 43.493777 128.774736 823.310504
2025-11-23 3.775462 5.942386 9.922880 18.883068 43.167076 131.935146 925.647205
2025-11-30 3.639854 5.764396 9.705427 18.704960 43.672499 138.976937 1103.729028
2025-12-07 3.443849 5.467201 9.235000 17.887858 42.118039 136.238169 1139.996356